2009 Fall STA 103-001

Bulletin Course Description
Basic laws of probability<197>random events, independence and dependence, expectations, Bayes theorem. Discrete and continuous random variables, density, and distribution functions. Binomial and normal models for observational data. Introduction to maximum likelihood estimation and Bayesian inference. One- and two-sample mean problems, simple linear regression, multiple linear regression with two explanatory variables. Applications in economics, quantitative social sciences, and natural sciences emphasized. Instructor: Staff
(Instructor named in bulletin description above may not be current. For current instructor, see listing below.)

Title PROBABILITY/STAT INFER
Department STA
Course Number2009 Fall 103
Section Number 001
Primary Instructor Macaro,Christian
Prerequisites Prerequisites: Mathematics 31 or equivalent. Not open to students who have credit for another 100-level statistics course.


Synopsis of course content
Statistics 103 covers the basic laws of probability and statistical inference. Topics include: random events, independence and dependence, Bayes theorem, discrete and continuous random variables, density, and distribution functions. Expectations and variances of linear combinations of random variables. Introductions to maximum likelihood estimation and Bayesian inference. Hypothesis testing and confidence intervals, and simple linear regression. Applications in economics and quantitative social sciences, and natural sciences emphasized.

Assignments
The assignments will include several in-class quizzes, two midterm exams and a final exam, labs, and a final project. In the computing labs, students analyze datasets using statistical software JMP.

Additional Information. This course assumes students have only an introductory calculus background. Calculus will not be used heavily, but mathematical maturity at the calculus level will be assumed. The course will use summation notation and mathematical symbols. Use of calculus will be limited to simple derivates and integrals. No multivariate calculus will be used.

This course covers many topics needed for further study in statistical methods, including random variables and calculation of arbitrary expectations and variances. Therefore, students preparing for econometrics and finance courses in Economics should take Statistics 103. Students interested in a mathematically rigorous introduction to statistics should take Statistics 114. Students who want a conceptual introduction to statistics, or who are not comfortable with summation notation or moderate mathematics, should take Statistics 101. Students interested in an algebra-based introductory statistics course that focuses on statistics in the legal arena should take STA 102B.




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